Commission's Energy Roadmap 2050 - What Direction for EU's Climate Change Policy?

 

On 15 December 2011, the European Commission published its “Energy Roadmap 2050” in the form of a Communication to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions.(1) The Roadmap should be read in light of the fourth meeting of the Advisory Group on Energy Roadmap 2050 whose minutes were published on DG ENER’s website on 16 January 2012.(2)

In the Roadmap, the Commission confirms EU’s 2050 commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 80 to 95% compared to 1990 levels.(3) It also outlines five decarbonisation scenarios: (i) a high level of energy efficiency; (ii) diversification in the supply technologies; (iii) a high share of renewable energy sources in gross final consumption of energy; (iv) delayed Carbon Capture and Storage (‘CCS’); and (v) a low level of nuclear energy.(4)

In all decarbonisation scenarios, the Commission calls for “very significant energy savings”. More concretely, the Roadmap aims at a 32 to 41% energy efficiency increase by 2050 based on 2005-2006 levels.(5) This demanding energy efficiency target for 2050 can be contrasted with the pessimistic observations which Philip Lowe (Director-General for Energy at the European Commission) formulated at the Roundtable on “The Future of the European Energy Policy, Energy Efficiency and European Energy Independence” that took place on 14 September 2011 at the European Economic and Social Committee in Brussels.(6) Philip Lowe argued on that occasion that, although the EU was well on its way in achieving the 2020 greenhouse gas reduction target and renewable energy targets, it was still stagnating with respect to its 2020 20% energy efficiency objective. Philip Lowe underlined that Member States were very much opposed to the idea of having binding targets formally imposed upon them in the field of energy efficiency: they would instead mark a strong preference for indicative targets.(7) Philip Lowe also pointed out that only 4% of small companies and 20% of large corporations established in the Union would already have a policy on energy efficiency.

The Commission also calls for the share of renewable energy to reach 55% of the Union’s gross final consumption of energy by 2050.(8) As regards renewable electricity more specifically, the Commission, in two of its decarbonisation scenarios, calls for a share of 60-65% and of 97% of renewable energy sources in the gross final consumption of electricity to be reached by 2050.(9) The Roadmap insists on the essential role of renewable heating and cooling in the Union’s move towards decarbonisation: the Commission urges for energy consumption to be directed at “low carbon and locally produced energy sources (including heat pumps and storage heaters) and renewable energy (e.g., solar heating, geothermal, biogas, biomass)”.(10) In the transport sector, the Commission points to a mixture of alternative fuels as a necessary substitute for oil, biofuels remaining the most viable alternative to oil for aircrafts, long-distance road transport, and railways (when they cannot turn to electricity). The biofuels relied upon ought to be sustainable: they must help diminish demand for food production land and improve the level of net greenhouse gas savings.(11)

Stimulation of local production of renewable energy presupposes the emergence of smarter distribution grids with a view to accommodating variable generation from multiple sources of distribution (e.g., solar photovoltaic) and a growing demand for renewable energy.(12)

The Commission, in its Roadmap, is realistic about the fact that public support schemes, in particular in the form of energy subsidies, will still be needed after 2020 in order to further stimulate green technologies. These support schemes ought to be specific in their scope, foreseeable and proportionate. They should be suppressed once the underlying “market failures are resolved” and the maturation of these technologies arrived at.(13)

As regards the future of CCS, the Roadmap suggests that it is contingent on its acceptance by the public and on the adequacy of carbon prices. CCS, if deployed by 2020 and widely used by 2030, is expected to have a significant impact on the decarbonisation of many heavy industrial infrastructures. The combination of CCS and of biomass could result in “carbon negative values”.(14)

The Roadmap’s proposed energy system presupposes the achievement of a “fully integrated market” for 2014,(15) the definition of “2030 milestones” for the promotion of renewable energy sources, more consistency with a common approach to international energy policy, and a substantial increase in energy efficiency (amongst other factors).(16)

Philip Lowe at the fourth meeting of the Advisory Group on Energy Roadmap 2050 and the Commission as a whole through its Roadmap have announced that their next priority would be the elaboration of a 2030 energy policy framework.(17)



[1] European Commission,  “Energy Roadmap 2050”, COM(2011) 885/2, available at: http://ec.europa.eu/energy/energy2020/roadmap/doc/com_2011_8852_en.pdf

[2]  Minutes of the fourth meeting of the Advisory Group on Energy Roadmap 2050, Brussels, 12 December 2011:  http://ec.europa.eu/energy/energy2020/roadmap/doc/energy_roadmap2050_advisory_group_minutes_2011_12_12.pdf

[3] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 2.

[4] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 4.

[5] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 7.

[7] This position is somewhat reflected in the Commission’s Proposal for a Directive on Energy Efficiency formally issued in June 2011. This generic Directive, if adopted by the European Parliament and the Council, would refrain from imposing binding national targets in the implementation of EU’s 2020 20% energy efficiency target. Instead, Member States would have to fix in advance indicative national energy efficiency targets in the form of absolute levels of primary energy consumption (i.e., gross inland consumption) in 2020. The Commission would have to determine by 30 June 2014 whether the EU is capable of reaching its 20% energy efficiency target. If not, the Commission may want to propose another EU legislative act that would make national energy efficiency targets formally binding upon Member States:  Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on energy efficiency and repealing Directives 2004/8/EC and 2006/32/EC, COM(2011) 370 final, Brussels, 22 June 2011 (Article 3).

[8] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 7.

[9] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 6-7.

[10] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 11.

[11] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 11.

[12] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 15.

[13] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 17.

[14] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 12.

[15] In order to help foster an EU integrated energy market, the European Economic and Social Committee (an advisory and interinstitutional body of the EU in charge of representing employers, employees and civil society more generally) has been in favour of instituting a “European Energy Community” so as to promote a “joint approach to energy production, transmission and consumption”. This would start with the establishment of “regional energy blocks” where Member States and operators would have the opportunity to align their strategic positions concerning network development and energy mix. See Press Release of 18 January 2012, CES/12/2:

http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=CES/12/2&format=HTML&aged=0&language=EN&guiLanguage=en

[16] Energy Roadmap 2050, pp. 19-20.

[17] Energy Roadmap 2050, p. 20. 

European Union Council Meeting: a timid regulatory approach to the EU objective of increasing energy efficiency by 20% by 2020

 

The Council of the European Union, at its May 17th  Economic and Financial Affairs meeting in Brussels,[1] discussed the status of the Commission’s 2050 Roadmap,[2] the implications of the Commission’s Energy Infrastructure Communication[3] and the follow-up to the Commission’s Energy Efficiency Plan.[4]

1.         Status of the Commission’s 2050 Roadmap

When commenting on the content of the 2050 Roadmap, the Council acknowledges the merits of moving towards a competitive low carbon economy by 2050, of further developing energy security and of ameliorating the cost-effectiveness of energy supply. In this context, it also stresses the budgetary restrictions prevailing in the majority of EU Member States (“EU MS”). The Council is aware of the substantial investments needed to achieve a low carbon economy. Such investments require consideration of all possible avenues for mobilizing private and public finance, which leaves the door open for innovative financial instruments. The Council here encourages the Commission to continue undertaking cost-benefit and sector-specific analyses of strategies towards reducing the level of greenhouse gas (GHG’s) emissions.

2.         Implications of the Commission’s Energy Infrastructure Communication

In response to the Commission’s Energy Infrastructure Communication, the Council has indicated that the establishment of a European energy market was central to addressing the EU climate change objectives. The market should continue holding the central role in funding energy infrastructure investment. In the presence of specific market failures, measures designed to ameliorate market functioning (e.g. adaptation of the regulatory framework or planning reforms) should be prioritized. Should the market options prove insufficient to achieve these climate change objectives, limited public finance may be called for so as to “leverage private funding”. Nevertheless, the granting of public funding ought to be premised on clear and transparent criteria, and be based on a comprehensive cost benefit analysis. The leverage of private funding may also be achieved through recourse to “innovative financing instruments”, although their effectiveness will be conditional upon EU MS making their respective budgetary rules more consistent with each other.

3.         Follow-up to the Commission’s Energy Efficiency Plan

As far as the Commission’s Energy Efficiency Plan is concerned, the Council concedes that the 2020 20% energy efficiency target is presently not ready to be achieved. Although it encourages EU MS to consider measures for cost-effective energy savings, it takes the view that imposing binding national targets for energy efficiency (on the model of the Renewable Energy Directive)[5] would not be in line with the necessary flexibility underlying the cost-effective approach to the implementation of the GHGs reduction target.

The Council here makes a particular point that subsidiarity and proportionality are to govern EU decision-making in this area of climate change law. The principle of subsidiarity insists on the EU political institutions acting, in respect of non-exclusive areas of competence, “only if and in so far as the objectives of the proposed action cannot be sufficiently achieved by the Member States ” and provided that this action can “be better achieved at Union level” due to its scale or effects.[6] Pursuant to the proportionality principle, the form and content of the proposed measure need not go beyond what is necessary to achieve the EU objective.[7]

The Council also posits that the measures suggested in the Commission’s Energy Efficiency Plan (e.g. national measures making regular and independent energy audits binding on large companies; national rules imposing energy performance or eco-design requirements on producers of standard industrial equipment) may be adequate so long as they are underpinned by a clear economic justification and are in accordance with the Commission’s Communication on Smart Regulation in the EU.[8] The latter soft law instrument calls for the adoption of EU legislation that is clear and accessible enough to those affected by it.[9]  It also recommends that EU institutions pay sufficient attention to and duly consider (e.g. through consultation or stronger forms of procedural involvement) stakeholders’ and European citizens’ voice in their decision-making.[10] The Communication on Smart Regulation suggests, furthermore, that future EU legislation be simplified and its administrative burdens be lessened.[11]

4.         Conclusion

It is clear that the EU views energy efficiency increase not only as an end in and of itself but also as a means towards achieving the 2020 20% GHGs reduction goal. Notwithstanding the importance of energy efficiency, the Council is hereby propounding a more decentralized approach to this area of climate change than in respect of the promotion of renewables (at least as far as the question of national targets is concerned). A comprehensive hard law instrument regulating energy efficiency in the EU is still missing from the EU legal framework. As it transpires from the press,[12] the Commission is due to publish a proposal for a generic energy-efficiency directive, which would, for instance, require energy customers to install individual meters, compel public authorities to renovate their buildings, and empower competent authorities to fine companies which fail to assist customers in diminishing their energy use.[13] The draft proposal, as it currently stands, would nevertheless avoid imposing binding national targets in the implementation of the EU-endorsed 2020 20% energy efficiency target.[14]



[2]           “A Roadmap for moving to a competitive low carbon economy in 2050”, COM(2011) 112 final, Brussels 8.3.2011. Text available at:   http://ec.europa.eu/clima/documentation/roadmap/docs/com_2011_112_en.pdf    

[3]           “Energy infrastructure priorities for 2020 and beyond - a blueprint for an integrated European energy network” COM(2010) 677/4, available at: http://www.energy.eu/directives/com-2010-0677_en.pdf

[4]           “Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions - Energy Efficiency Plan 2011”, COM(2011) 109 final, Brussels 8.3.2011. Text available at: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2011:0109:FIN:EN:PDF

[5]           Directive 2009/28/EC of 23 April 2009 on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources and amending and subsequently repealing Directives 2001/77/EC and 2003/30/EC,  2009 OJ L 140/16 (Article 3(1)).

[6]           Article 5(3) of the Treaty on European Union.

[7]           Article 5(4) of the Treaty on European Union.

[8]           Commission communication - COM(2010)543 (8 October 2010).

[9]           Id. at 2.4.

[10]          Id. at 4.

[11]          Id. at 2.1.

[13]         This draft proposal would fit within the framework of the Commission’s November 2010  Communication titled “Energy 2020 - A strategy for competitive, sustainable and secure           energy” in which the Commission promised to “present most of the proposals to achieve the      2020 goals in the coming 18 months”. The text of this Communication can be viewed at:  http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2010:0639:FIN:EN:PDF

[14]         See European Council’s March 2007 summit

 

 

EU Commission Roadmap: An 80% to 95% Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050

On  March 8th, the European Commission adopted “A Roadmap for Moving to a Competitive Low Carbon Economy in 2050” in which it proposed an 80% to 95% reduction of  GHG emissions by 2050 from a 1990 baseline.  The Commission thereby confirmed the European Council’s “Low Carbon 2050 Strategy” announced at its February Summit.

In order to reach this ambitious long-term target, the Commission recommended achieving transitional reductions across all GHG-intensive sectors: 20% by 2020, 40% by 2030 and 60% by 2040. The Commission nevertheless observed that the EU should be in a position to reduce up to 25% of its total GHG by 2020 provided (amongst others) that: 

In order to reach this ambitious long-term target, the Commission recommended achieving transitional reductions across all GHG-intensive sectors: 20% by 2020, 40% by 2030 and 60% by 2040.  The Commission nevertheless observed that the EU should be in a position to reduce up to 25% of its total GHG by 2020 provided (amongst others) that: 

(i) the EU reduces its use of primary energy by 20% by 2020; and

(ii) the EU reaches a 20% share of its overall energy consumption in renewable energy by 2020 (for more information on these two energy objectives, see Commission’s Communication of 31 January 2011 titled: “Renewable Energy: Progressing towards the 2020 target”).

Parallel to these generic targets, the Commission also proposed sector-specific reductions.  For instance, the Commission suggested GHGs from the agricultural sector be reduced by 36% to 37% for 2030, and by 42% to 49% for 2050.  A reduction by 2050 of 54% to 67% of GHGs originating from the transport sector was also recommended.  The Commission also advised a reduction by 2050 of 83% to 87% of GHGs in the industrial sector. 

This roadmap draws increased political attention to agriculture as an important source of climate change concern.  The Commission indeed estimated that, by 2050, the agricultural sector would generate one third of EU’s total GHGs) due to increase in global population and demand for related products. 

The roadmap, which in no way was meant to represent hard law, encourages the EU (in addition to the present EU’s investment of 19% of its GDP in 2009) to dedicate 1.5% of its total GDP to investments, private and public, in low carbon energy sources and low carbon infrastructure.  The Commission noted in its roadmap that higher fuel efficiency is a key factor in reversing the process of GHG increases.  Therefore, the consumption of sustainable biofuels, especially in the transport sector (primarily aviation and  heavy duty trucks) should be prioritized.  This strategy would result in lowering Member States’ reliance on energy imports and their exposure to oil price instability.

The Commission will use this roadmap as a policy document to encourage further international negotiations on a global climate change agreement and to reinforce EU’s cooperation with its “Neighbourhood Partners” towards the adoption of initiatives for the promotion of a low carbon economy.  The roadmap will also stimulate further dialogue with economic sectors that contribute significantly to GHGs within the EU.  We will provide further updates on the Commission’s actions as they are available.