Climate Week In New York: Hope Over Pessimism?

As President Obama spoke at the United Nations today and now heads to the G-20, international skepticism is obvious.  The United States still has not taken definitive action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.  The lack of movement in the Senate on a climate bill is now cited as the primary reason that the US cannot make the level of concrete commitments necessary to forge a global agreement.  This lack of Senate action does not bode well for Obama to position the US as a global leader on climate change.  As Politico reported yesterday, the European Union’s ambassador to the US, John Bruton, is not happy about Senate delay stating that “(i)f this were to happen, it would open the United States to the charge that it does not take its international commitments seriously, and that these commitments will always take second place to domestic politics.  I submit that asking an international Conference to sit around looking out the window for months, while one chamber of the legislature of one country deals with its other business, is simply not a realistic political position.”

Yet despite the growing gloom in climate policy circles, signs of optimism are there.


First, President Obama signaled some willingness to get out ahead of the Senate.  In his speech at the UN Climate Change Summit today he indicated that the US will be “slashing our emissions to reach the targets we set for 2020 and our long-term goal for 2050."  While the President still faces the Senate as well as international expectations on the specifics of this goal, the US does appear at least open to an outcome in Copenhagen that includes mid-range targets.

President Obama also expressed a desire to phase out fossil fuel subsidies in the context of the upcoming G-20 negotiation.  In a recent New York Times article, Steve Kretzmann of NGO Oil Change International noted that "If the Obama administration is serious about eliminating all fossil fuel subsidies, that is wonderful and would go a long way toward correcting what Nicholas Stern called the greatest market failure of all time, which is climate change.”  The details of how these subsidies are defined and what the President could agree upon internationally without requiring domestic political action remains to be seen.  Nevertheless, these statements at the UN do suggest some willingness of the Administration to demonstrate positive leadership on the international stage with a view to working with Congress on the details.

With China also making a suite of commitments in New York this week, the pressure for US action continues to grow and the rationales for inaction continue to diminish.

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