The Picken's Plan - A Look at Energy Realities

T. Boone Pickens has an energy plan and he should be commended for it. More policy makers and influential individuals should do so. Visions and ideas should be explored and discussed.

The essence of the Pickens Plan is to replace one-third of our foreign imports of oil with natural gas fired vehicles. In turn, natural gas produced electricity is replaced with wind power. Pickens believes that this transition can be accomplished in 10 years.

Wind power currently produces some 1 percent of the nation’s electricity. So, to produce an additional 21 percent in the next 10 years would require a gargantuan effort. But, what would be the impact on natural gas?

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The New York Legislature Takes Action on a Number of Pieces of Legislation Related to Climate Change

The 2008 New York legislative session came to a close on June 27th. With so much attention on climate change and rising energy prices, its not surprising that several pieces of legislation relating to the environment and energy were passed by both the State Senate and the State Assembly and are currently awaiting action by the Governor.

One significant legislative initiative driven by Governor David Paterson was the adoption by the Senate and Assembly of an expanded net metering law to allow businesses, municipalities and non-profit utility customers to receive credit on their utility bill for excess energy produced through solar or wind technologies. Under current law only residential customers are allowed to sell power back to the utilities. While non-residential customers will be capped at the lesser of 2 mega watts or their peak load, the expansion of net-metering is expected to further spur the development of solar and wind projects in New York.

The Senate and Assembly also came together to pass legislation that provides a 4 year real property tax abatement for solar electric generating systems placed in service in New York City. The abatement ranges from 5 percent - 8 ¾ percent of the cost of the solar equipment depending on whether the equipment is placed in service. Again, this legislation (coupled with the net-metering expansion mentioned above) is expected to spur development of solar projects in New York City.

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Oil, Climate, and the Politics of Greening Gasoline

It had to happen, and not a minute too soon. Oil prices are soaring, if you hadn't noticed, and the stock market is in a steep dive as a result. The major airlines have sent a remarkable email letter to their customers (and who isn't one?) asking them to agitate for regulation and enforcement to combat oil costs’ T. Boone Pickens, who can afford to field a private army, has declared war on oil with his strategy to pincer OPEC between wind on one side and domestic natural gas on the other. The candidate who jumps out ahead to answer Pickens' challenge will win the election ("it's the cost of gasoline, stupid") and garner the credit next spring when prices come down. The problem is, rolling back the price of oil and gas will cause greenhouse gas emissions to rise. Some have suggested “greening gasoline” by letting the price of a barrel of oil stay high but imposing a tax -- some say a windfall profits tax will do the job -- that is earmarked for further carbon reduction projects.

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Hanson's Moratorium on Coal - Considering the Implications

James Hanson, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute, is considered a hero in the environmental community as one of the first to sound the alarm about global warming. Mr. Hanson was in Washington the week of June 23rd to mark the 20th anniversary of his original testimony before the Senate Energy Committee. This time, his message to the House Committee on Global Warming and to the National Press Club included a ban on coal fired power plants:
Practically, I don’t see how we can stop putting oil in the atmosphere, because that’s owned by Russia and Saudi Arabia. We can make our vehicles more efficient but that oil is going to get used and its going to get in the atmosphere…and it doesn’t really matter much how fast we burn it. But what we could do is stop coal.

Certainly, Mr. Hanson believes that in the context of global warming “desperate times call for drastic measures.” At the same time, the economic and national security consequences of Mr. Hanson’s proposal must be more fully considered. He calls for a phase out of all coal use by 2030 (unless plants can capture the carbon dioxide), to be replaced by solar, wind, and other renewable energy.   

Some facts about coal:

  • In 2007, coal constituted approximately 50 percent of all electrical generation in the US. 
  • In the West North Central states, coal accounts for 75 percent of electric generation.  
  • Our demonstrated reserve base for coal, as reported by the Energy Information Agency (EIA), is 491 billion short tons. 
  • In 2007, we used about 1.2 billion short tons of coal. 
  • At this rate, there is about 409 years worth of coal resources remaining in the US.

This is why the US has been called the Saudi Arabia of coal.

Currently, renewable energy constitutes approximately 3.5 percent of electric generation. Thus, under Mr. Hanson’s proposal -- either renewable energy must increase by more than 1,400 percent in the next 20 years or coal-fired power plants must find a way to capture carbon. These figures don’t even take into account the growth in energy demand projected over the next 20 years. EIA projects as much as a 39 percent increase in US electricity usage by 2030.

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